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Tuesday, September 27, 2011
GOP Presidential Race: Herman Cain Leaps into Lead
By News Release @ 4:40 PM :: 5215 Views :: National News, Ethics

IBOPE Zogby Poll: Perry Plummets to 18%; Trails Cain For Lead Among GOP Primary Voters 

Obama's Overall Approval Steady at 42%

News Release from Zogby International

UTICA, NY--Rick Perry has tumbled by more than 20 percentage points over the past month among Republican presidential primary voters and is now second to Herman Cain, who leads the field with 28%.

Mitt Romney received little benefit from Perrys fall, garnering 17% of the vote for third place.

As for President Barack Obama, both his job approval (42%) and the percentage who believe he deserves re-election (37%) are little changed from recent polls, but he does seem to be winning back some supporters who have been disappointed in his job performance.

These results are from an IBOPE Zogby interactive poll conducted Sept. 23-26 of all likely voters and of likely Republican primary voters.

Announced GOP Candidates (GOP primary voters)

If the Republican primary for President were held today, for whom would you vote?

Candidate

Sept 26

Sept 12

Aug 29

July 25

July 11

June 30

June 21

Herman Cain

28%

12%

8%

18%

16%

15%

15%

Rick Perry

18%

37%

41%

-

-

-

-

Mitt Romney

17%

14%

12%

17%

15%

14%

15%

Ron Paul

11%

11%

11%

11%

13%

11%

13%

Newt Gingrich

6%

2%

3%

1%

4%

2%

2%

Jon Huntsman, Jr.

5%

3%

3%

3%

4%

4%

2%

Michele Bachmann

4%

7%

9%

25%

28%

34%

24%

Rick Santorum

2%

3%

3%

5%

3%

7%

5%

Gary Johnson

1%

1%

<1%

<1%

1%

<1%

2%

Fred Karger

<1%

1%

<1%

1%

<1%

0%

0%

Other

2%

2%

8%

3%

4%

1%

4%

Not sure

6%

8%

2%

9%

10%

8%

13%

Totals may not add up to 100% due to rounding

This poll was conducted after Perry's most recent subpar debate performance last Thursday, but the survey was still in the field when Cain won a Florida straw poll on Sunday. Cain was the top choice of only 8% a month ago.

Michele Bachmann continues her drop in our polling, falling from a first-place 34% on June 30 to just 4% now. While some other announced GOP candidates have had large fluctuations in their standing with party voters, since June 21 Romney has remained steadily between 12% and 17%.

Overall, do you approve or disapprove of Barack Obamas job as president?

Obama Job Performance

Sept 26

Sept 12

Sept 5

Aug 29

Aug 4

July 25

July 18

July 12

July 5

June 21

June 9

June 6

Disapprove

57%

58%

61%

60%

58%

54%

57%

58%

58%

56%

56%

53%

Approve

42%

42%

39%

40%

41%

45%

43%

42%

42%

43%

43%

46%

Not sure

1%

1%

<1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

Totals may not add up to 100% due to rounding

Do you think President Obama deserves to be re-elected or do you think it is time for someone new?

Response

Sept 26

Sept 12

Sept 5

Aug 29

Aug 4

July 25

July 18

July 11

July 5

June 21

Time for someone new

53%

53%

57%

55%

54%

51%

53%

54%

56%

55%

Obama deserves to be re-elected

37%

39%

33%

35%

36%

40%

38%

36%

38%

39%

Not sure

10%

8%

10%

9%

9%

9%

9%

10%

6%

7%

Totals may not add up to 100% due to rounding

In this survey, we repeated a question first asked on Aug. 29 of voters who approve of Obamas job performance to learn if their response was based more on loyalty to Obama or true satisfaction with his record.

Which of these statements comes closest to your feelings about President Obamas job approval?

Statement A: I am disappointed with President Obama, but I don’t want to undermine him and give support to Republicans by saying I disapprove of his job performance.

Statement B: I am satisfied with President Obama, and that is my only consideration in saying I approve of his job performance.

Statement

Sept 26

Aug 29

A: Disappointed

27%

34%

B: Satisfied

58%

53%

Neither

15%

13%

Not sure

1%

1%

Totals may not add up to 100% due to rounding

Our results may indicate Obamas jobs program and a more combative tone toward Republicans is beginning to shore up his support with the party base.

Other results show little change from two weeks ago on opinion toward the nations direction and approval of Congress.

  • 72% say the nation is on the wrong track and 17% say the U.S. is headed in the right direction.
  • Overall approval of Congress is 14%, while approval for Congressional Republicans is 30% and for Congressional Democrats 28%.

IBOPE Zogby International conducted an online survey of 2,077 voters. A sampling of IBOPE Zogby International's online panel, which is representative of the adult population of the U.S., was invited to participate. Slight weights were added to region, party, age, race, religion, gender and education to more accurately reflect the population. The margin of error is +/- 2.2 percentage points. Margins of error are higher in sub-groups. The MOE calculation is for sampling error only.

IBOPE Zogby International also conducted an online survey of 1,006 likely Republican primary voters. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points.

 

 

Please visit www.ibopezogby.com for more information on IBOPE Zogby International.

---30---

RELATED: Hawaii Republican Presidential Vote Set for March 13

RESULTS: Cain tops Hawaii GOP Presidential Straw Poll 

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