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Wednesday, January 8, 2025
Hawaii #1 -- lost greatest share of population to other states
By Tax Foundation @ 3:07 AM :: 357 Views :: Hawaii Statistics, Taxes, Cost of Living

Americans Moved to Low-Tax States in 2024

by Katherine Loughead, Tax Foundation, January 7, 2025 (excerpts)

Americans were on the move in 2024, and many chose low-tax states over high-tax ones. This ongoing trend is reflected in recent US Census Bureau interstate migration data, as well as commercial datasets released last week by U-Haul and United Van Lines.

The US Census Bureau’s most recent interstate migration estimates show interstate moves that occurred between July 1, 2023, and June 30, 2024. For the second year in a row, South Carolina saw the greatest population growth attributable to net inbound domestic migration (1.26 percent). Other states that saw significant domestic migration-related population growth were Idaho (0.83 percent), Delaware (0.79 percent), North Carolina (0.76 percent), and Tennessee (0.68 percent).

At the other end of the spectrum, Hawaii lost the greatest share of its population to other states (0.65 percent). Not far behind were New York and California, which each lost 0.61 percent of their residents to other states, followed by Alaska (0.51 percent) and Illinois (0.44 percent).

….

…Americans are continuing to leave high-tax, high-cost-of-living states in favor of lower-tax, lower-cost alternatives. Of the 26 states whose overall state and local tax burdens per capita were below the national average in 2022 (the most recent year of data available), 18 experienced net inbound interstate migration in FY 2024. Meanwhile, of the 25 states and DC with tax burdens per capita at or above the national average, 17 of those jurisdictions experienced net outbound domestic migration.

Though only one component of overall tax burdens, the individual income tax is particularly illustrative here. In the top third of states for highest domestic migration-related population growth, the average combined top marginal state income tax rate is about 3.5 percent. In the bottom third, it’s 3.2 percentage points higher, at about 6.7 percent.

Six states in the top third do not levy an individual income tax at all: Tennessee, Nevada, New Hampshire, Florida, Texas, and South Dakota. Among the bottom third, four states—Hawaii, New York, California, and New Jersey—have double-digit income tax rates, and (excepting Alaska, with no income tax), the lowest rate is in Pennsylvania, where a low state rate of 3.07 percent is paired with some of the highest local income tax rates in the country.

Just as states with lower income tax rates—or no income tax at all—have proven highly attractive to interstate movers, so have states with more neutral tax structures. Of the 12 states that levied single-rate, as opposed to graduated-rate, taxes on wage and salary income in 2024, all but four (Illinois, Mississippi, Pennsylvania, and Michigan) experienced net inbound migration. It is also worth noting that in the 2025 State Tax Competitiveness Index, which evaluates the competitiveness of state tax structures as of July 1, 2024, of the 25 top-ranking states, 20 experienced net inbound migration. Meanwhile, of the 25 lowest-ranking states on the Index, 17 and DC experienced net outbound migration.

For some Americans—especially higher-income and highly mobile individuals—tax differentials among states directly influence location decisions. More commonly, however, many individuals cite job opportunities, cost of living, family reasons, or lifestyle reasons for moving from one state to another. While taxes are far from the only factor affecting the cost of living or the job opportunities available in a state, they are an important factor, and they are one that is directly within policymakers’ control.

Furthermore, in the post-pandemic era of increased remote and hybrid workplace flexibility, more Americans now enjoy the flexibility to live in a state of their preference while working for an employer located elsewhere. Many states have responded to this highly competitive landscape by reducing tax rates and improving tax structures in an effort to attract and retain individuals and employers. In recent years, several states that recently had highly uncompetitive tax codes—like Iowa, Louisiana, and Arkansas—have taken significant steps to improve their tax structures and better compete with their lower-tax neighbors. Other states—especially those that experience net outbound migration year after year—should consider following suit or risk falling behind simply by standing still.

Many policies, such as minimum wage levels, tax brackets, and means-tested public benefit income thresholds, are denominated in nominal dollars, even though a dollar in one region may go much further than a dollar in another. Lawmakers should keep that reality in mind as they make changes to tax and economic policies.

 

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