Sunday, December 22, 2024
Hawai'i Free Press

Current Articles | Archives

Tuesday, May 22, 2012
New Poll: Case 46%, Hirono 45%
By Ed Case @ 4:52 PM :: 6512 Views :: Energy, Environment

From Ed Case Campaign, May 22, 2012

Dear Friend:

Case 46%, Hirono 45%, Undecided 9%.

Those are the results of a statewide poll of likely Democratic primary voters just last week. Here's a
summary of the poll results.

Public Strategy Group, Inc.

Methodology

• 668 likely Democratic primary voters —Margin of Error +/- 3.8%
• IVR calls placed May 15-16
• Sample weighted based on (a) demographic turn-out model (Sex by Age); (b) frequency of primary voting in last three elections; (c) self-reported likelihood of voting (very likely vs. somewhat likely).

Analysis

The Democratic primary for United States Senator in Hawaii remains very competitive, with the key match-up question between likely primary voters slightly favoring Case over Hirono within the margin of error. Among the most likely voters, Case enjoys a 46%-45% lead with 9% undecided. His lead increases with larger Democratic primary voter turnout because typically incremental voters in a Democratic primary tend to be more independent and/or moderate groups that strongly identify with Case.

Case, with a strong 65-30 favorable/unfavorable rating, enjoys higher favorable ratings and lower unfavorable ratings than Hirono. His support is also broader; his positive favorability is maintained across all segments while Hirono, although she has pockets of support, slips into net negative among some segments.

Case enjoys narrow leads among both men and women. While Hirono runs stronger among the traditional Democratic base of voters, Case is viewed favorably and is very competitive in that segment, enjoys a substantial lead among self-described moderates and an even greater lead among independent voters. His maintenance of traditional base support and stronger appeal among moderate and independent voters offers a broader Democratic base in the general election.

Most encouraging for Case, among the growing number of voters who say that the most important issue is choosing a candidate who can fix Washington DC, Case leads by 19%. Voters who said the most important issue was the economy and job creation also favored Case by 13%. Respondents also identified Case as the candidate who best knows Hawaii and is most likely to be independent.

236 Huntington Ave., Suite 404 • Boston, MA 02115 • Tel: (617) 859-3006 • Toll-free Fax: (888) 719-6924 www.publicstategygroup.com

Here's the bottom line: we hold a slight lead with just 82 days left until the August 11th primary election and the trends are in our direction.

We've gotten this far and put ourselves in a position to win both the primary and the general through the dedicated grassroots and financial support of so many. I thank each and all of you personally for your belief in my candidacy and service as your next U. S. Senator, and for doing something about it.

But now it's time to double-down. The weeks ahead will be rough as we face the full brunt of the attacks to come and my opponent hiding behind millions of dollars of slick advertising financed by insider mainland and DC PACs and other special interests.

What will pull us through is our commitment to strong effective leadership to fix DC and our mutual belief in a better Hawai'i and better country over the next generation. That, and doing everything each of us personally can do to demand and achieve it.

E komo mai; join us, today. Mahalo!

Warm aloha,
Ed

Ed Case

Links

TEXT "follow HawaiiFreePress" to 40404

Register to Vote

2aHawaii

Aloha Pregnancy Care Center

AntiPlanner

Antonio Gramsci Reading List

A Place for Women in Waipio

Ballotpedia Hawaii

Broken Trust

Build More Hawaiian Homes Working Group

Christian Homeschoolers of Hawaii

Cliff Slater's Second Opinion

DVids Hawaii

FIRE

Fix Oahu!

Frontline: The Fixers

Genetic Literacy Project

Grassroot Institute

Habele.org

Hawaii Aquarium Fish Report

Hawaii Aviation Preservation Society

Hawaii Catholic TV

Hawaii Christian Coalition

Hawaii Cigar Association

Hawaii ConCon Info

Hawaii Debt Clock

Hawaii Defense Foundation

Hawaii Family Forum

Hawaii Farmers and Ranchers United

Hawaii Farmer's Daughter

Hawaii Federation of Republican Women

Hawaii History Blog

Hawaii Jihadi Trial

Hawaii Legal News

Hawaii Legal Short-Term Rental Alliance

Hawaii Matters

Hawaii Military History

Hawaii's Partnership for Appropriate & Compassionate Care

Hawaii Public Charter School Network

Hawaii Rifle Association

Hawaii Shippers Council

Hawaii Together

HiFiCo

Hiram Fong Papers

Homeschool Legal Defense Hawaii

Honolulu Navy League

Honolulu Traffic

House Minority Blog

Imua TMT

Inouye-Kwock, NYT 1992

Inside the Nature Conservancy

Inverse Condemnation

July 4 in Hawaii

Land and Power in Hawaii

Lessons in Firearm Education

Lingle Years

Managed Care Matters -- Hawaii

MentalIllnessPolicy.org

Missile Defense Advocacy

MIS Veterans Hawaii

NAMI Hawaii

Natatorium.org

National Parents Org Hawaii

NFIB Hawaii News

NRA-ILA Hawaii

Obookiah

OHA Lies

Opt Out Today

Patients Rights Council Hawaii

Practical Policy Institute of Hawaii

Pritchett Cartoons

Pro-GMO Hawaii

RailRipoff.com

Rental by Owner Awareness Assn

Research Institute for Hawaii USA

Rick Hamada Show

RJ Rummel

School Choice in Hawaii

SenatorFong.com

Talking Tax

Tax Foundation of Hawaii

The Real Hanabusa

Time Out Honolulu

Trustee Akina KWO Columns

Waagey.org

West Maui Taxpayers Association

What Natalie Thinks

Whole Life Hawaii